Leveraging Machine Learning for Sustainable and Self-sufficient Energy Communities

This paper proposes an integrated machine learning pipeline — combining energy forecasting, NILM-based disaggregation, and demand response optimisation — to improve self-sufficiency in renewable energy communities.

machine learning
energy communities
sustainable energy
self-sufficiency
demand response
Author

Anthony Faustine and Pereira, Lucas and Ngondya, Isakwisa and Benabbou, Loubna

Published

June 15, 2020

Abstract

Energy communities — groups of households and businesses that share local renewable energy resources — are emerging as a key mechanism for the energy transition. Realising self-sufficiency within such communities requires intelligent coordination of generation, storage, and consumption. This paper investigates how machine learning can support this coordination by addressing three interrelated problems: short-term solar and demand forecasting, appliance-level load disaggregation via NILM, and community-scale demand response optimisation. We propose an integrated ML pipeline connecting these modules and evaluate it on a simulated energy community with real solar irradiance and consumption data. Results demonstrate that the combined ML approach improves self-sufficiency rates by 18% compared to rule-based scheduling, with forecasting accuracy being the dominant factor in overall community performance.